Land
48%
critical
Air
72%
degraded
Water
85%
nominal
Cyber
79%
degraded
Info
91%
nominal
Human
66%
degraded
Subordinate Element Status
Firebreak — Eastern Ridge
Firebreak construction at grid 447-898 — 1,100m of 2,100m complete
Firebreak — Northern Flank
Equipment breakdown at grid 447-907 — awaiting replacement saw unit from staging
Equipment failure — ETA of replacement unit H+45min
Active Suppression — Sector 7
Holding at staging area NOVEMBER — awaiting ALPHA firebreak completion trigger
Reserve
At staging area MIKE — crew rest rotation in progress
FLIR Surveillance
Continuous FLIR coverage — 4 UAVs active, 2 on charge rotation
Water Resupply
Tanker 2 of 3 operational — tanker 1 flat tyre at Route CHARLIE junction
Resupply capacity at 67% — monitor for impact on Phase 2
Comms & SCADA
SCADA station 3 isolation complete — diagnostic phase in progress
Civilian Evacuation
211 of 340 civilians evacuated via Route ALPHA — 129 remaining in eastern zone
Planned vs Actual Timeline
Minutes from H-Hour — positive variance = behind schedule
Live Trigger Status
Wind Speed
Threshold: 40kts
Crew Fatigue
Threshold: 6h
Reservoir Level
Threshold: 60%
Comms Integrity
Threshold: 80%
Replan Event Log
Cycle 1Trigger: Fire perimeter growth rate exceeded DT-002 threshold (180 m/h vs 150 m/h limit)
Action: Branch Plan BRAVO activated — DELTA reserve element tasked to reinforce BRAVO firebreak team
Impact: DELTA moved from Reserve to Supporting; BRAVO firebreak completion time revised from H+2h to H+2h30m
Trigger: FOXTROT tanker 1 mechanical failure — resupply capacity at 67%
Action: Emergency resupply request raised to Regional Fire Authority — additional tanker ETA H+3h30m
Impact: Phase 2 suppression timeline may slip 30-45min if FOXTROT not at full capacity by H+2h
Trigger: CHARLIE task query — clarification on H+2h trigger condition requested
Action: Clarification issued: H+2h trigger is conditional on ALPHA firebreak 80% completion, not clock time
Impact: No timeline change — clarification only; CHARLIE confirmed ready
Branch Plans & Sequels
Trigger: Wind speed exceeds 40 kts (DT-001)
Concept: Suspend all aerial ops immediately. Transition to ground-only suppression. Extend firebreak lines to secondary defensive perimeter at grid 448-xxx. Accept expanded fire perimeter — protect life over property.
Degraded Mode: Ground-only suppression — aerial capability suspended
Trigger: Perimeter growth rate exceeds 150 m/h (DT-002)
Concept: Commit DELTA reserve to reinforce BRAVO firebreak team. Extend suppression timeline by 30 minutes. Accept risk of reduced strategic reserve capacity.
Trigger: Comms integrity below 80% (DT-005)
Concept: Activate PACE plan — switch to satellite backup. All elements execute last received orders until comms restored. DELTA holds at staging and awaits runner or visual signal from HQ.
Degraded Mode: Decentralised execution — last orders apply
Trigger: ALPHA firebreak 80% complete AND CHARLIE ready
Concept: Transition from Phase 1 containment to Phase 2 active suppression. CHARLIE commits to Sector 7 fire head. ALPHA completes firebreak and transitions to support role. FOXTROT increases resupply tempo.
Trigger: Sector 7 suppression 70% complete
Concept: Redirect ground assets to Sectors 4 and 11. UAV ECHO transitions to damage assessment role. HOTEL confirms all civilians evacuated. Begin recovery phase planning.